Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 2.116013 2.412289 2.734917 3.112320 3.541723 4.015150 4.576827
2025-09-14 1.610315 2.002143 2.466532 3.057515 3.789868 4.668091 5.802170
2025-09-21 1.338936 1.767264 2.305397 3.031163 3.985014 5.196969 6.856076
2025-09-28 1.141323 1.582218 2.163301 2.985262 4.118967 5.629465 7.798765
2025-10-05 1.075821 1.556310 2.216427 3.189629 4.589346 6.532638 9.441975
2025-10-12 0.969571 1.457215 2.152570 3.216475 4.805189 7.093768 10.650163
2025-10-19 0.905536 1.409270 2.152388 3.328547 5.146116 7.854006 12.207637
2025-10-26 0.818368 1.315480 2.072300 3.308382 5.280231 8.311110 13.340243
2025-11-02 0.745589 1.235344 2.003280 3.294966 5.417739 8.777320 14.518997
2025-11-09 0.672605 1.146738 1.911159 3.233144 5.467573 9.102691 15.490920
2025-11-16 0.628695 1.101341 1.883747 3.272955 5.684370 9.711305 16.977736
2025-11-23 0.589818 1.060317 1.859023 3.313270 5.902516 10.335545 18.539091
2025-11-30 0.538965 0.997170 1.797076 3.294776 6.037742 10.865846 20.054543
2025-12-07 0.486526 0.926442 1.716230 3.236934 6.101841 11.286303 21.434018
2025-12-14 0.444868 0.870739 1.656033 3.209029 6.214801 11.800051 23.029213
2025-12-21 0.405372 0.814689 1.589107 3.160439 6.281601 12.230639 24.503297
2025-12-28 0.401959 0.828612 1.656008 3.376781 6.881008 13.725326 28.198703
2026-01-04 0.377088 0.796687 1.630074 3.405201 7.108315 14.514028 30.554095
2026-01-11 0.363941 0.787373 1.647983 3.523839 7.529185 15.724028 33.888209
2026-01-18 0.338032 0.748381 1.601292 3.502492 7.654770 16.340525 36.030096
2026-01-25 0.315201 0.713651 1.560057 3.488291 7.793157 16.994013 38.311480
2026-02-01 0.290064 0.671237 1.498292 3.422846 7.812438 17.393128 40.067624
2026-02-08 0.275858 0.652075 1.485397 3.464990 8.075134 18.344544 43.157134